Nephrology · Clinical Calculator · Glomerular

Anti-GBM Kidney Outcome Risk Floyd Model, Renal Risk Score, and KDIGO Check

For biopsy-proven or serologically confirmed anti-glomerular basement membrane (anti-GBM) disease. Combines the two strongest predictors of kidney survival, need for dialysis at diagnosis and the percentage of normal glomeruli, with the Renal Risk Score, and flags whether the patient meets the KDIGO 2021 exception to intensive treatment.

Published: References: 5 Read time:

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Instructions
  1. Confirm anti-GBM disease (circulating anti-GBM antibody and/or linear IgG on kidney biopsy).
  2. Answer whether the patient required dialysis (kidney replacement therapy, KRT) at diagnosis.
  3. From the biopsy report, select the percentage of normal glomeruli and the extent of tubular atrophy / interstitial fibrosis (IFTA), and enter the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at diagnosis.
  4. Optionally answer the three KDIGO questions (100% crescents, global glomerulosclerosis above 50%, pulmonary hemorrhage) to check the Recommendation 11.2.1 exception.

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When to Use

Use at diagnosis in a patient with anti-GBM disease and a kidney biopsy, to frame prognosis and the conversation about how hard to treat when the patient is dialysis-dependent. The Floyd model needs only two inputs (dialysis at diagnosis and the 10% normal-glomeruli cut point); the Renal Risk Score (RRS) adds IFTA and eGFR.

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When NOT to rely on it

Never delay plasma exchange and immunosuppression while waiting for a biopsy to score. Pulmonary hemorrhage is always an indication for full treatment regardless of the kidney result. The models were derived in a retrospective cohort and predict kidney survival, not patient survival; they have not been validated for Alport post-transplant, seronegative/atypical, or IgA-dominant disease.

Pearls & Pitfalls
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Why normal glomeruli matter most

Anti-GBM crescents are usually of uniform age and scar within weeks. Only unaffected glomeruli can carry function after recovery, which is why the percentage of normal glomeruli was the best single predictor of recovery, with 10% as the best cut point (Floyd et al., 2023).

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"Normal" means no crescent, no necrosis, no sclerosis

Count glomeruli without scarring, crescents, or necrosis within the tuft, as in the original ANCA score. A small sample (few glomeruli) makes the percentage unreliable.

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Pitfalls

(1) Duration of dialysis matters and is not in the models: recovery is very rare after more than 7 days of dialysis before immunosuppression, but possible within about 72 hours (McAdoo & Pusey, 2025). (2) An alternative cause of the dialysis need (acute tubular injury, hyperkalemia rather than anuria) or co-existing ANCA improves the odds. (3) In crescentic biopsies, linear IgG can disappear from destroyed glomeruli; correlate with serology.

Anti-GBM Kidney Outcome Risk

Required for the Floyd model.
No crescent, necrosis, or sclerosis.
For the Renal Risk Score.
≤15 → G1 (3 pts). For the Renal Risk Score.
Next Steps
  • Not on dialysis (any glomerular group): full treatment with daily plasma exchange until antibody negative, oral cyclophosphamide 2–3 months, glucocorticoids tapered over about 6 months (KDIGO 2021, Recommendation 11.2.1, 1C).
  • Dialysis with ≥10% normal glomeruli (about 42% 36-month kidney survival): treat intensively; recovery is realistic.
  • Dialysis with <10% normal glomeruli (about 14%): individualize. If the KDIGO exception applies (100% crescents or >50% sclerosis, no lung hemorrhage), supportive care is reasonable; a short 2–4 week trial is reasonable in younger patients, with recent dialysis start, non-oliguria, or co-existing ANCA. Short-term immunosuppression may also speed antibody clearance toward transplant (antibody negative for at least 6 months first).
  • Plan exchange volume with the Plasma Volume calculator; for double-positive disease see the ANCA Renal Risk Score; read the full anti-GBM disease guide.
Evidence

Floyd four-group model (36-month kidney survival)

Dialysis at diagnosisNormal glomeruli36-month kidney survival
No≥10%96.4%
No<10%74.0%
Yes≥10%42.3%
Yes<10%14.1%

Renal Risk Score in anti-GBM disease

ScoreGroup36-month kidney survival (Floyd cohort)
0Low100%
2–7Moderate62.4%
8–11High20.7%

RRS points (Brix et al., 2018): N1 = 4, N2 = 6; T1 = 2; G1 (eGFR ≤15) = 3. Dialysis at diagnosis and normal glomeruli were the independent predictors of end-stage kidney disease in the anti-GBM cohort.

KDIGO 2021 Recommendation 11.2.1 (1C)

Plasma exchange, cyclophosphamide, and glucocorticoids for all patients with anti-GBM glomerulonephritis except those who are dialysis-dependent at presentation and have 100% crescents or more than 50% global glomerulosclerosis in an adequate biopsy sample, and do not have pulmonary hemorrhage.

Important: This calculator is an educational aid for licensed clinicians. It estimates group kidney survival from a retrospective cohort and does not decide treatment. Start plasma exchange and immunosuppression without delay when anti-GBM disease is suspected, and always treat pulmonary hemorrhage.
ReferencesMga SanggunianMga TinubdanReng Reperensya 5 sources
  1. Floyd, L., Bate, S., Hadi Kafagi, A., Brown, N., Scott, J., Srikantharajah, M., Myslivecek, M., Reid, G., Aqeel, F., Frausova, D., Kollar, M., Kieu, P. L., Khurshid, B., Pusey, C. D., Dhaygude, A., Tesar, V., McAdoo, S., Little, M. A., Geetha, D., & Brix, S. R. (2023). Risk stratification to predict renal survival in anti-glomerular basement membrane disease. Journal of the American Society of Nephrology, 34(3), 505–514. https://doi.org/10.1681/ASN.2022050581
  2. Brix, S. R., Noriega, M., Tennstedt, P., Vettorazzi, E., Busch, M., Nitschke, M., Jabs, W. J., Özcan, F., Wendt, R., Hausberg, M., Sellin, L., Panzer, U., Huber, T. B., Waldherr, R., Hopfer, H., Stahl, R. A. K., & Wiech, T. (2018). Development and validation of a renal risk score in ANCA-associated glomerulonephritis. Kidney International, 94(6), 1177–1188. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.kint.2018.07.020
  3. Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) Glomerular Diseases Work Group. (2021). KDIGO 2021 clinical practice guideline for the management of glomerular diseases. Kidney International, 100(4S), S1–S276. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.kint.2021.05.021
  4. McAdoo, S. P., & Pusey, C. D. (2025). Anti-glomerular basement membrane disease: Treatment standard. Nephrology Dialysis Transplantation, 41(1), 42–54. https://doi.org/10.1093/ndt/gfaf190
  5. Levy, J. B., Turner, A. N., Rees, A. J., & Pusey, C. D. (2001). Long-term outcome of anti-glomerular basement membrane antibody disease treated with plasma exchange and immunosuppression. Annals of Internal Medicine, 134(11), 1033–1042. https://doi.org/10.7326/0003-4819-134-11-200106050-00009
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W Rivero, MD, FPCP, DPSN

Specialist in Internal Medicine, Nephrology, and Clinical Nutrition. Practicing integrative and evidence-based nephrology across Quezon City, Pampanga, and Bulacan.

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